A Different Way To Look At It

(Still waiting for anyone to respond to the last post, incidentally)

There is a post at World Climate Report about recent temperatures in the US:

http://www.worldclimatereport.com/index.php/2009/11/09/another-normal-year-for-us-temperatures/

Using the data from NCDC the show that, so far, 2009 is shaping up to be another near normal year. This is based on the year to date function at the climate at a glance page, I think. Anyway, I don’t care for discrete averages. I prefer moving averages. So I’m going to explore what THAT looks like. I think it would tell us more precisely what the general thrust so far of 2009 versus 2008 has been.

Most likely October has been a big contributor to bringing down the average this year, because even though it it is just one tenth of the year to date average, it was VERY cold. Third coldest on record, in fact. Coldest on record in Oklahoma. Here in Florida, however, it was hot. Summer might FINALLY be ending here though.

Anyway, here is the comparison:

US 12 month average temp in Fahrenheit degrees

US twelve month average temperatures in degrees Fahrenheit

The black dots represent the average of 2008’s twelve months, and the most recent twelve (November 2008-October 2009) and they are almost indistinguishable. However, the last few months have seen the moving average drop a little so it is not out of the realm of possibility for 2009 to be cooler than 2008 and exactly average for the US!

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One Response to “A Different Way To Look At It”

  1. How Did 2009 Shape Up? « Hypothesis Testing Says:

    […] Did 2009 Shape Up? By timetochooseagain On November 10th of last year, I speculated about how the annual Average Temperature of the lower 48 States would shape up that […]

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